mod1CanStrategybeTaughtcopy.pdf

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CanStrategybetaught?LtGenRobertSchmidle(ret)Ph.D.

IntheSevenPillarsofWisdomT.ELawrenceheld,likeClausewitzbeforehim,

thatwarswerefundamentallyirrationalactivitiesandanyattempttounderstandwhat

causedthemorhowtofightthemneededtopayhomagetothereflexivepracticesand

beliefsofthewarringparties.Thisisnottosaythattherewasnotaplacefor

calculationsinwar,e.g.inmattersoflogisticsorthetacticalapplicationofartillery.

Ratherandmostimportantly,Lawrenceproposedthatthosecalculationswerenotthe

keyfactorindecidingtheoutcomeofawar.

FamouslyLawrencewrotethat“Nine-tenthsoftacticswerecertainenoughtobe

teachableinschools;buttheirrationaltenthwaslikethekingfisherflashingacrossthe

pool,andinitlaythetestofgenerals”.Thetestofgenerals,whichveryfewbutthe

greatestwouldpass,wastheirabilitytounderstandandtapthetruesourceofpower–

theirrationaltenth.Itistheseeminglyirrationaldecisionofagreatcommandergoing

againsttheconventionalwisdomofthedaythatconfoundshisenemywhileinspiring

hisownforcestovictory.

Lawrenceexplainsfurtherabouttheessenceoftheirrationaltenth“Itcouldbe

ensuedbyinstinct(sharpenedbythoughtpracticingthestroke)untilatthecrisisitcame

naturally,areflex.”Lawrence’sperspectiveonirrationality,farfromseeingitas

somethingtobeavoided,wasthatitshouldbeunderstoodasprovidingahorizonof

possibilitiesnotevidentotherwise.Ofnote,theirrationaltenthwassomethingthat

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couldbedevelopedbystudyandcriticalthinkingandwasnotsomethingthatcame

merelyfromexperience.

Thefocusofhisstrategywasonusing‘irregular’asopposedtoregularor

conventionaluniform-wearingforces.Lawrencebelievedthatitwasimportanttothink

ofwar,atleasthiswar,intermsofasymmetricpresentationsbyhisirregularforcesto

theregularforcesoftheTurks.Hegoessofarastosay“Inarealsensemaximum

disorderwasourequilibrium.”DisorderwasforLawrencenotsomethingtobeavoided

ortamed.Rather,itwasthenaturalorderofhiswar,itwasinfactthestateof

equilibrium.

ThroughouthiscampaignontheArabianPeninsulaLawrencecontinuedto

redefinetheWesternwayofwarintermsofhisnewwayofwar.Hefundamentally

soughttoembraceuncertaintyanddevelophisstrategyofresistance,informedbyan

understandingoftheirrationalinhumandecision-making.Hetookissuewiththe

traditionalmodelofwarfareandtheensuingstrategiesthatwereemployedbyboth

sidesontheWesternFrontinFrancein1916.Inhismind,theprotagonistswere

treatingwarasifitwereonelargeNewtonianformulatobesolvedbycalculation.

Lawrence,ontheotherhandsawhiswaragainsttheTurksnotasamathematical

calculationtobesolvedbyarithmetic.Instead,hebelievedittobeafluidandchaotic

enterprise,uniquetoitshistoricalcontext,tobeexploitedandmadeevidentinthe

guiseofthe‘irrationaltenth.’

Whenwethinkaboutthepedagogicalmethodsusedtoteachstrategyitis

importanttobeginbydistinguishingbetweenstrategicthinkingandstrategicplanning.

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Theinitialconsiderationwhendevelopingastrategyshouldstartbyincorporating

designthinkingintotheprocess,proceedingthefollow-onstageofconstructive

planning.Unfortunately,thatsequenceisnotalwaysthecaseandwhentheactivityof

planningisnotinformedbythelogicofdesigntheconsequencescanbedisastrous.The

U.S.strategyintheVietnamWarisanexampleofthelackofdesign.Theultimate

resultsofthatwarwereevidencethatthestrategy(usingoverwhelmingfirepowerto

attritetheenemy)failedbecauseitobviouslyrancountertoachievingthedesiredend

state(astableanddemocraticSouthVietnam).

Thepointhereisthatstrategicthinkingandstrategicplanningarefundamentally

twodifferentmentalactivitiesandneedtobeunderstoodasdiscretebuthorizontally

integratedactivities.Inthispaper,Ihavebeenexploringtheissueofteachingsomeone

tothinkstrategically.Importantly,strategicthinkingisatypeofdesignactivity,itisan

intuitive,creativeactivitynotareasoningandcalculatingone.Planningontheother

handisanarithmeticactivity.Saiddifferently,onementalactivity,thatofplanning-is

analytic,theothermentalactivity,thatofthinking-issynthetic.

Iwouldfurthersuggestthattherearethreefundamentalcharacteristicsof

strategicthinking-creativity,synthesisandperhapsmostimportantly-character.

Determiningthemethodforteachingthesecharacteristicsbeginsbythinkingabouthow

onewouldteachcreativity,i.e.answeringtheimpliedquestion:canyouteachsomeone

tobecreative?Whiletherearetechniquesforteachingcreativitytheextenttowhich

theyareeffectiveindevelopingatrulycreativemindisnotcertain.Although,Iwould

suggestthatwecanencouragecreativityinstrategiststhroughanunderstandingof

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synthesis(thinking)asthefundamentalmentalprocessofthedesignphaseof

developingastrategy.Therefore,aframeofreferencethatenablessomeoneto

incorporateadifferentperspectiveinthedevelopmentofastrategyisanessentialfor

enablingthecreativityrequiredintheinitialstageofstrategydevelopment.

Thefirststepinchangingourperspectiveistofundamentallychangethemodel

usedtoinformthatperspectivefromonethatprivilegesverticalintegrationtoonethat

privilegeshorizontalintegration.Thisnewperspectivereliesonthemodelofthe

rhizome(frombotany–amassofrootsthatgrowperpendiculartogravity,emanating

newrootsfromnodesinrootstructure).Inotherwords,synthesis,thedesignthinking

thatproceedsplanningmustfocusonhorizontalsynthesis.ThethirdcharacteristicI

proposed–thatofcharacterisperhapsthehardesttoteach,atleastifonethinksin

termsoftraditionalpedagogy.MuchliketheSocraticargumentsaboutvirtue,itmay

onlybepossibletoshowwhatcharacterisandwhatitisnotbyexampleandnotby

educationoftheintellect.

Ifweassumeforaminutethatstrategycanbetaught,howwouldweteachit?

Isitliketryingtoteachvirtueorcreativity?Shouldwethinkaboutaperson’smoral

developmentasananalogy?Inthecaseofmoraldevelopmentempathyisanobvious

requirement.This,inturn,bringsupthequestion:howwouldyouteachthequalityof

empathytoapersonsothatitbecomesunconsciouslyreflexiveinheractions?Onthe

otherhand,ifweassumethatstrategycannotbetaught,thatgoodstrategistsareonly

bornandnevermade,thenweareleftwithbutoneoptionfordevelopingstrategists.

Thatoptionistoscreenpotentialcandidatestodeterminewhichoneswouldmakethe

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beststrategists.Thisoptionsubsequentlyraisesthequestion-whatarethedesired

qualitiesthatwewouldscreenforinpotentialcandidates?Leavingthisquestion

unansweredfornow,letustransitiontoahistoricalexampleofhowastrategywas

developedandtheendresultoftheimplementationofthatstrategy.

ThestrategythatresultedintheGermanSchlieffenPlanfortheinvasionof

France,initiatedinAugust1914,isacaseinpoint.InherbookTheGunsofAugust

BarbaraTuchmancontendsthatthestrategythatgavebirthtotheSchlieffenPlanwas

anamalgamofculturalpredispositions.“AhundredyearsofGermanphilosophywent

intothemakingofthisdecisioninwhichtheseedofself-destructionlayembedded,

waitingforitshour.”Whileshemayhavebeenrightaboutthepowerofthenarratives

thatacountrytellsitself,andbelievestobetrue,shewaswrongtoblameonlythe

Germans.

TheFrenchbeliefin‘elan’–inthewilltowin,exemplifiedintheunquestioned

beliefinthepowerofthe‘spiritofFrance’resultedinastrategyfundamentallybasedon

prioritizingoffensivemilitaryaction.ThisstrategywasembracedbyFrenchmilitary

leadershipinspiteoftheevidentdevelopmentsinmodernweapons.Astrategybased

on‘elan’wastranslatedintothetacticsoffrontalassaultsbyinfantryacrossopen

terrainandintodeadlymachinegunfire.Thesetacticsyieldednothingmorethanhigh

casualtiesandbloodystalemateontheWesternfrontduringtheFirstWorldWar.This

strategywouldnotdefeattheGermanArmyuntilyearslaterandonlythenbythe

additionoftremendousamountsofadditionalresources.

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Importantly,thenewweaponsinthatwarsuchastanks,airplanes,machine

guns,poisongas,etc.wouldnotprovebeakeyfactorintheoutcomeonthebattlefield.

Itwasintheendnottheempirical,objectivesfactorsthatformedthestrategicthinking

andoperationalexecutionintheWorldWarI.Rather,itwasthestoriesthesovereign

leaderstoldthemselves.Itwasthose‘culturalnarratives’thatcapturedtheirthinking

abouttheirenemiesandrationalizedtheiractionsforwar.Itwasfearthatgrippedthe

protagonists,justasThucydideshadpredicted.Fearcoloredtheassumptionsthose

strategistsmadeintheirplanningastheywereconfrontedwiththepossibilityofwarin

Europeandbeyond.

ThethirdcharacteristicofstrategicthinkingisowedtotheancientGreeks.

Amongthem,Heraclituswasfamousforsayingthat“characterisfate.”Characteris

madeupofthepersonalvaluesandtraitsthatdefinesomeone,thewordcharacteris

alsousedasameasureofmeritwhendescribinganother.Forexample,apersonof

goodcharacterisonewhoisethicalandhonorableandapersonofbadcharacter,the

opposite.Aboveall,characterisachoice,butachoiceformedandconstrainedbythe

contextofthecultureinwhichsomeonelives.Ifcharacterisfatethen‘good’character

isessentialinasovereignleaderandfundamentaltothecoherentdevelopmentand

executionofanynationalstrategy.

Withthisasbackground,aquestionnaturallyariseslikeitdidinourdiscussionof

virtue,abouthow(orwhether)charactercanbetaught.Ifoneistohavethe‘right’

characteritwouldentailaperspectivethatnecessarilycomesfromadeep

understandingofone’sowncultureaswellasanother’s.However,andmost

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importantlyforstrategicthinkers,characteriswhatenablessomeonetotranscendthe

conventionalwisdomoftheirculture.Rightcharacterisevidentwhenitfostersaclear

senseofskepticismsharpenedbycontinuousrefectionabouttheassumptionsupon

whichaparticularstrategywasdeveloped.InAugustof1914allthekeyplayersinthe

unfoldingdramawerefilteringtheworldthroughnarrativesbuildontheirindividualand

collectiveexperience.Thosefilterswerecoloredbythesamethreethingsthat

ThucydidesproposedwereresponsibleforthePeloponnesianwar–fear,hubrisand

(self)interest.

Thucydideswasalsogivingplaytothedistinction,illuminatedcenturieslaterby

T.E.Lawrencebetweentherationalandtheirrational.Inthiscaseitcouldbeargued

thathonorandhubrisaredrivenbyseeminglyirrationalforcesandthatnational

interestisdrivenbymorerationalforces.Infact,Iwouldarguethatthereisample

evidencetosuggestthatevenostensivelyobjectiveandrationalconcernsfornational

self-interestofaparticularcountryarefrequentlycastasideinfavoroftheirrational

forcesoffearandhubris.Evenacursoryviewofhistoryshowsthatitisnotuncommon

fornationsandpeopletomakestrategicchoicesthatareclearlyatoddswiththeirown

self-interest.TheattackonFrancebytheGermansin1914,drivingthroughBelgium,

whichbeganWorldWarIinearnest,isbutoneexample.

Inourconsiderationoftheefficacyofteachingstrategyitisusefultorecall

otherpastexamples.OnesuchexampleisthePrussian/GermanKriegsAkademieasit

wasreformedin1810togivemilitaryofficersageneraleducationinstrategyinaddition

toteachingtactics.Althoughitprovidedamorediverseacademiccurriculumforits

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officers,theAkademiewasmainlyfocusedoninstructioninmilitarytacticsandstaff

work.Itwasdesignedtoproduceexceptionallyhigh-qualityofficersforthePrussian,

latertheGerman,GeneralStaff.UpongraduationfromtheAkademiethoseofficers

wouldthenbechargedwithguidingwhateverpoliticalleadershipwasinpowertoward

theoptimumstrategyforensuringthecontinueddominanceofthePrussianState.One

ofthemostwell-knowngraduatesofthisschool,AlfredvonSchlieffenwasthestrategist

whocreatedtheplanthatcarriedhisnameandwasthemodelfortheGermaninvasion

ofFrancein1914.Interestingly,inspiteofhisschoolingattheKriegsAkademie,

Schlieffenwaspurportedtohavesaid,“Amanisborn,notmade,astrategist.”

Anotherexamplethatwecandrawontoanswerthequestion“Canstrategybe

taught?”isfromPlato’sMenoDialoginwhichhehasSocratesaddressthequestion

“Canvirtuebetaught?”ThestorybeginswithSocratesaskingforadefinitionofvirtue.

Aftermuchbackandforthheprovidessomeillustrativeexamplesinvolvingthenot-so-

virtuoussonsoftwovirtuousAthenians(PericlesandThucydides).Basedonthedialog,

Socratescomestotheconclusionthatvirtueisnotknowledgeandthereforecannotbe

taught.Virtue,accordingtoSocratescomesfromdivineinspiration.Virtuousmeninhis

viewareliketheprophetsandoraclesthatspeakwisdomonlyinthiscaseitiswisdom

thathasnotbeenacquiredbyeducation.

FromAristotle,wegetaslightlydifferentview,heinitiallyagreeswithSocratesbut

thenproceedstodevelopawayforapersontobecomevirtuouswithoutrelyingon

divineinspiration.Tobegin,Aristotleproposesthatmoralvirtuesarenotinnatein

humansalthoughwedohavesomenaturalcapacityfortheirdevelopment.Virtuesare

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attainedlikeallhabitsbypractice,“…welearnbydoingthem…webecomebraveby

doingbraveacts.”Theimportantconnectionhereisbetweentheactofrepeatingan

actionuntilitbecomesahabitandthesubsequentandreflexiveactionsofaperson

displayingthatvirtue,i.e.bravery.

Aristotlebelievedthatwebecomevirtuousbypracticingvirtuousbehaviorand

whenthatbehaviorbecomesahabit,wearemoreapttochoosetoactinamannerthat

displaysvirtuousbehavior.TheimplicationofallthisisthatAristotlebelievedthatmoral

virtuescouldbetaught.Furthermore,hebelievedthathumansareneithergoodnor

badbuthavethecapacitytobeeither.Itisthroughapropereducationthataperson

attainsvirtuessuchasbravery,moderation,justice,generosity,etc.Aristotlecontends

thatvirtuesaretheresultofhabituallypracticingvirtuousbehavior.Ifheisrightwhat

doesthatmeanforthedevelopmentofstrategists?Whatkindsofhabitswouldyou

teachsomeonetomakethemastrategist?

TheBritishhistorianLiddellHart,athoughtfulstudentofstrategyhimself,believed

thatagreatstrategistmustfirsthaveexperienceintheworld.However,healsoheld

thatexperiencealonewasnotenoughtomakeagreatstrategist.Heinsistedthatby

itselfanindividual’sempiricalexperiencewouldactuallylimittheboundsofimagined

possibilities.Insteadadeepstudyofhistory,whichisvicariousexperience,would

expandtheboundsofimaginedpossibilities.Healsobelievedthatpartofaneffective

foundationforastrategistwasanin-depthunderstandingofotheracademicdisciplines,

inparticular-psychology.Withthisinmindwemightwonderifthebeststrategistsare

morelikeIsaiahBerlin’sfamousfox,whoknowsmanythings;seeinginterconnected

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patternsfromseeminglydisconnectedeventsbysensingandunderstandingnuance.

TheoppositeofthefoxaccordingtoBerlinisthehedgehog,whounderstandsonebig

thingandseestheworldthroughthelensofthatonegreatidea.Arguably,the

hedgehoghaslessroomforflexibilityandagilityinthoughtandactionsbutdoeshave

theadmirablequalityofhavingasimple,singularlyfocusedworldview.Iwouldsuggest

thatthebeststrategistsarepartfoxandparthedgehog.Theyareabletofindthat

elusivebalancebetweenthetwoworldviewsthroughanunderstandingofthenuance

ofeachone’sepistemologicalframework.

Letusnowgobacktotheoriginalquestion,“Canstrategybetaught?”Theanswer

inmymindis–wellitdepends.Ibeginexaminingthisquestionbygoingbacktothe

questionSocratesaskedinthebeginningofthedialogintheMeno,“Canvirtuebe

taught?”However,insteadoftryingtodefinevirtueIwilltrytodefinetheideaof

strategy.Iwouldproposethatstrategyistheactivityofaligningresourcestoa

postulatedendstateinordertoidentifytheinherentrisksintheexecutionofthe

actionsnecessarytoachievethatendstate.Theactivityofdevelopingastrategyhas

twoparts;thefirstistheanalysisoftheproblemthestrategyistryingtoaddress.This

partrequiresin-depthknowledgeofthemechanicalandarithmeticcalculations

regardingfriendlyforcecapabilitiesastheyrelatetoadversarycapabilities.Thisisthe

analyticphaseandtheskillsnecessarytocollectandanalyzedatacan,asT.E.Lawrence

advocated,clearlybetaughtinschools.

However,itisthatlast‘irrationaltenth’thatisofgreatestinterestandiswhat

requiresthementalactivityofsynthesis.Thisphasebringstogetherourexperiencesin

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theworldandtheresultsofourstudyofhistory,literature,psychology,etc.Synthesisin

thiscontextshouldnotfocusongainingtacticalinsightsintoweaponsandforce

dispositions.Ratheritshouldfocusongaininginsightintotheconsciousnessofthe

opponent,whoshouldbetheobjectofintentionalityofourgaze.

Thefundamentalmodeloftheworldviewthatinformsourcurrentthinkingabout

teachingstrategymustchangeifwearetoguidepeopletothinkcriticallyabout

strategy.Imentionedearlierinthispapertheuseoftherhizomemodeltofoster

creativityinthedesignphaseofstrategydevelopment.NowIwillpickupthatthreadto

addresstheproblemsinherentinusingthecurrenthierarchicalandtraditionalcausal

model.TothatendIproposethattheconceptoftherhizomefromDeleuzeand

Guattari’sAThousandPlateausprovidesarichanalogy.Theydescribearhizomeinthe

followingmanner:“itisunliketreesortheirroots,itconnectsanypointtoanyother

point,anditstraitsarenotnecessarilylinkedtotraitsofthesamenature.”The

importantcharacteristicinthisdefinitionisthattherhizomeistheoppositeofthe

conventionalmodelofatree.Thetreemodelismostoftenusedtodescribethe

relationshipofthingsintheworld.Thetreehasaclearbeginning(roots)andending

(leaves)andfollowsalogicalpatterntoitsgrowth,whereastherhizomedoesnot.The

rhizomeisahorizontalrootstructurethatexpandsfromitsnodes,itiscapableof

creatingnewrootstructuresthatgrowhorizontally,nottransitioningtoavertical,

hieraticalplantstructure.Therhizomeprovidesamodelinfusedwiththecharacteristics

ofthe‘irrationaltenth.’

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ThetreeanalogyisthetraditionalmentalmodelinWesternthinkingandis

evidentinthestructuresofourinstitutionswhethertheyaremilitary,government,

schoolsorbusinessorganizations.Thereisaclearrationalitytothismodelbutitis

restrictingandconfining.Itlimitsamorecompleteunderstandingofeventsbecauseof

itscausal,verticalnature.Accordingly,thetreemodelactsasaconstraintinlimitingthe

possiblecoursesofactionoroptionsmadeevidenttoastrategist.

TherhizomeontheotherhandismoreliketheInternet,withnorealbeginningor

end.Ithasnologicalgrowthpatternandnoclearrationalitytoinformahierarchical

connectionofanyonepartwithanyotherpart.Therhizomecaresnotforthesimilarity

oreventhedifferenceofthoseparts.Uniquely,inthecontextinwhichIamusingthe

term,rhizomeisnotathingbutaprocess.Itisaprocessthatcallsintoquestionthe

relevanceofhierarchicalorganizationsasmodelsforstrategydevelopment.Rhizomeis

morelikeamap,whichcanbeopenedtoanypoint,anywhereandshowapathtoany

otherpoint,anywhere.Ithasnobeginningorendbutisalwaysinthemiddle.Therefore,

arhizomeisneversomethingthatisorsomethingthatwas,butitisalwayssomething

thatisintheprocessofbecoming,itisnotthisorthatbut,and,and,and…The

strategistmustfocusontheactofbecoming,notonthestasisofbeing.

Theeducationofastrategistshouldtakeplacewithinthecontextoftherhizome.

Thepurposeofteachingstrategyistodevelopdesignersnotcraftsman.Thecraftsman’s

skillscanbetaughtlikethetacticstowhichLawrencereferred.Thedesigner,onthe

otherhandrequiresaninterdisciplinaryeducation.Thateducationisaholisticprocess,

whichisconductedhorizontally,notverticallyandbeginswithincorporatingthetenets

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ofdesignthinking.Amongthemorerelevantofthosetenetsare:honestlyconfronting

thefacts,breakingthroughthenoisetodiscoverwhatistrulyimportantandscalingfor

impactatanappropriatetimeandplace.

Thedesignerenvisionstheintegrationofmanythings,evenmanyseemingly

dissimilarthings.Hedoesnotneedthetacticalskillsofacraftsmanbecausehedoesnot

somuchneedtoknowhowtomakesomething,asheneedstoknowthemyriadwaysit

canbeused.Infact,astrategistwhofocusesprimarilyontacticalactionsisnotan

effectivestrategist.Thisisbecausehisworldviewisnotalignedwiththelimitless

horizonofstrategicdesign.Aneffectivestrategistwillgenerallynothebeagood

craftsmanbecausehelacksthepropensity,skillsanddifferentworldviewofthe

craftsman.Thecraftsmanpursuestheexcellencethatcomesfromverticalintegration

whilethestrategistlooksfortheephemeralpossibilitiesofincreasedhorizontal

integration.Finally,thestrategistmustalsobecomfortableseekingtointegrate

empirical,practicalcapabilitieswithconceptsinordertoinformtheemploymentof

thosecapabilities.

Astrategistshouldalwaysbesearchingforthat‘irrationaltenth,’tryingtofindthe

indirectorasymmetricapproachtothechallengeshefaces.Lastly,hemustbecareful

nottothinkoftheworldandthereforenottodesignastrategy,whichsuccumbsto

inflexiblebutwellknownhierarchicalmodels.Thosemodelsarelikelytobemirror

imagesofhiscultureandexperienceandareascomfortableforhimassittinginthe

shadeofatreeonahotsummerday.Instead,thestrategistshouldusethemodelofthe

rhizome,itsrootstwistedandrandom,challenginghissensesandcausinghimtosquint

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uncomfortablyinthebrightsunlightashetriestofocus.Itisonlythenthathecan

uncovertheassumptionsthatunderlayhisdevelopingstrategy,exposingthemtothe

light.